Throughout the long and tortuous negotiation with Brussels over the terms of the UK’s withdrawal from the EU, Mrs May has always known that she has had two very different tasks. The first of these has been to persuade the EU to agree to a form of words which she…
The Bank of England has outlined the economic consequences of Brexit It has failed to apply a ‘plausibility test’ to its results This actually helps hard-line Brexiteers, as well as those who would erode central bank independence Yesterday (28th November, 2018), the Bank of England published a report called ‘EU…
The global policy mix is shifting from loose monetary/tight fiscal to loose fiscal/tighter monetary This will exacerbate the 2019 slowdown already heralded by monetary data Financial assets will suffer For much of the post-Great Recession era, economic policy in most major economies has been characterised by a mix of tight…
After one year of QT, the Fed’s balance sheet has slimmed by just over $300bn (-6.6%) Although the US government deficit has widened, broad money growth has halved The Fed will still raise interest rates in December; but ‘three hikes in 2019’ is no longer on Last week, we had…
A fairly small, but very nicely varied buffet. Excellent choice of breads, but weak on the vegetables. Good selection of cold cuts. Nothing special, but perfectly adequate, and therefore clearly 5/10
I spoke on ‘The global trade conflict and its impact on central bank monetary policy’
I spoke on The economic and social consequences of financing government spending through central banks.
Global broad money growth seems to have bottomed out – and improved in the USA Money and other indicators imply activity will diverge, US improving, EA slowing But most central banks remain in tightening mode, meaning yield curves will remain flat My previous comment (Don’t underestimate central banks’ determination to…
